Outcome forecast
Launch is conditionally on time
One gate shortcut preserves schedule while transferring risk into compliance.
Launch probability68%
Expected delay2.4h
Compliance exposure31
Budget remaining$12.8k
Recommended next intervention
Refresh localization policy context
Fast localization is amplifying a stale interpretation across four launch languages.
−$0.4k · +0.4h · −12 riskRouting policy comparison
Choose where the system absorbs pain
Incident injection
Stress the mission
Incident behavior
Incidents are additive and logged. They alter agent availability, dependency flow, queue pressure, forecast, and the recommended response.
Critical path
Policy → localization → compliance gate → release
Why: Four launch locales inherit Policy Memo 7B; Gate A cannot approve the release bundle without their attestations.
Evidence: Dependency manifest v12 and Gate A checklist.
Could invalidate: Human counsel may accept the newer regional exception.
Append-only decision record